Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.000616 0.000708 0.000806 0.000918 0.001042 0.001173 0.001325
2025-05-18 0.000478 0.000606 0.000752 0.000929 0.001137 0.001371 0.001655
2025-05-25 0.000403 0.000545 0.000716 0.000932 0.001196 0.001504 0.001888
2025-06-01 0.000330 0.000477 0.000660 0.000902 0.001208 0.001577 0.002050
2025-06-08 0.000275 0.000422 0.000613 0.000875 0.001216 0.001638 0.002192
2025-06-15 0.000240 0.000388 0.000589 0.000872 0.001251 0.001732 0.002375
2025-06-22 0.000211 0.000359 0.000568 0.000870 0.001286 0.001822 0.002553
2025-06-29 0.000183 0.000329 0.000542 0.000859 0.001305 0.001892 0.002705
2025-07-06 0.000159 0.000301 0.000514 0.000842 0.001314 0.001947 0.002837
2025-07-13 0.000146 0.000290 0.000513 0.000862 0.001373 0.002069 0.003060
2025-07-20 0.000134 0.000278 0.000507 0.000875 0.001422 0.002178 0.003268
2025-07-27 0.000118 0.000258 0.000488 0.000865 0.001438 0.002241 0.003413
2025-08-03 0.000103 0.000236 0.000464 0.000848 0.001442 0.002289 0.003541
2025-08-10 0.000094 0.000227 0.000459 0.000860 0.001490 0.002399 0.003757
2025-08-17 0.000085 0.000215 0.000449 0.000862 0.001523 0.002488 0.003944
2025-08-24 0.000072 0.000194 0.000422 0.000834 0.001508 0.002506 0.004031
2025-08-31 0.000061 0.000175 0.000397 0.000808 0.001493 0.002524 0.004116
2025-09-07 0.000055 0.000165 0.000386 0.000806 0.001516 0.002596 0.004282
2025-09-14 0.000049 0.000156 0.000377 0.000804 0.001539 0.002669 0.004450
2025-09-21 0.000043 0.000145 0.000363 0.000794 0.001547 0.002720 0.004584
2025-09-28 0.000037 0.000133 0.000346 0.000778 0.001545 0.002754 0.004694
2025-10-05 0.000035 0.000131 0.000348 0.000796 0.001600 0.002879 0.004943
2025-10-12 0.000032 0.000127 0.000347 0.000808 0.001645 0.002988 0.005169